Dayrout
Ismaily SCMy Model1
40%33%27%
xG 1.1-0.8U2.5BTTS no
Expected goals 1.05 vs 0.82. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
22h agoAPI-Football2
10%45%45%
Winner : Ismaily SC
23h agoBookmakers2
20%29%51%
U2.5
Bet365 · 23h agoDayroutIsmaily SCKickoff 10/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Dayrout 1.05 vs Ismaily SC 0.82.
That gives 40% home win, 33% draw, 27% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 19.8 pts, draw 4.4 pts, away -24.2 pts.
API-Football says: Winner : Ismaily SC
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayrout win | 39% | 2.55 | 4.50 | +76% |
| Draw | 34% | 2.95 | 3.10 | +5% |
| Ismaily SC win | 27% | 3.72 | 1.73 | -54% |
| Dayrout (draw no bet) | 59% | 1.68 | - | - |
| Ismaily SC (draw no bet) | 41% | 2.46 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 40% / 33% / 27% | ||||
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 20% / 29% / 51% | 12.3% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Dayrout
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Ismaily SC
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Dayrout recent form
- D9/25/2026Haras El Hodood 0-0 Dayrout
- L9/18/2026Dayrout 0-3 El Entag EL Harby
- L9/10/2026AL Nasr SC 2-0 Dayrout
- L9/3/2026Dayrout 0-2 Itesalat
- L8/28/2026Masar 4-0 Dayrout
Ismaily SC recent form
- W9/25/2026Mega Sport 2-3 Ismaily SC
- L9/17/2026Ismaily SC 0-2 Haras El Hodood
- D9/11/2026El Entag EL Harby 1-1 Ismaily SC
- D9/4/2026Ismaily SC 1-1 AL Nasr SC
- L8/28/2026Itesalat 2-1 Ismaily SC
Head to head
No past matches stored.