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Druha Liga · Regular Season - 9Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 10:00 AM
Penuel
vs
Atlet
My Model2
19%20%60%
xG 1.2-2.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.23 vs 2.26. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
0%50%50%

Combo Winner : Atlet and +1.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Penuel 1.23 vs Atlet 2.26.

That gives 19% home win, 20% draw, 60% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Winner : Atlet and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Penuel win
19%
5.22--
Draw
21%
4.77--
Atlet win
60%
1.67--
Penuel (draw no bet)
24%
4.13--
Atlet (draw no bet)
76%
1.32--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Penuel

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Atlet

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Penuel recent form

  • L9/26/2026Lozova 1-0 Penuel
  • L9/21/2026Penuel 1-3 Trostianets
  • L9/6/2026Penuel 0-3 Rebel
  • L8/30/2026Oleksandria II 3-0 Penuel
  • L8/23/2026Penuel 0-1 Metal Kharkiv

Atlet recent form

  • L9/27/2026Atlet 2-3 Metalurh Zaporizhya
  • W9/21/2026SC Poltava 2 0-3 Atlet
  • D9/13/2026Atlet 2-2 Karbon Cherkasy
  • W9/4/2026Atlet 2-0 Oleksandria II
  • W8/29/2026Lozova 2-3 Atlet

Head to head

No past matches stored.