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Liga MX U21 · Regular Season - 2Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 03:00 PM
Guadalajara Chivas U21
vs
Juarez U21
My Model1
46%31%23%
xG 1.2-0.8U2.5BTTS no

Expected goals 1.24 vs 0.79. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1.24 vs Juarez U21 0.79.

That gives 46% home win, 31% draw, 23% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Guadalajara Chivas U21 win
46%
2.18--
Draw
32%
3.17--
Juarez U21 win
23%
4.42--
Guadalajara Chivas U21 (draw no bet)
67%
1.49--
Juarez U21 (draw no bet)
33%
3.03--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Guadalajara Chivas U21

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Juarez U21

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 recent form

  • L9/26/2026Guadalajara Chivas U21 2-4 Queretaro U21
  • W9/19/2026Club America U21 1-2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
  • D9/13/2026Guadalajara Chivas U21 0-0 UNAM Pumas U21
  • W9/5/2026Atl. San Luis U21 1-3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
  • D8/29/2026Pachuca U21 2-2 Guadalajara Chivas U21

Juarez U21 recent form

  • L9/27/2026Club Leon U21 1-0 Juarez U21
  • D9/18/2026Juarez U21 1-1 Tigres UANL U21
  • D9/13/2026Santos Laguna U21 1-1 Juarez U21
  • D9/4/2026Juarez U21 1-1 Pachuca U21
  • L8/30/2026Toluca U21 2-1 Juarez U21

Head to head