Monheim
SW EssenExpected goals 2.25 vs 1.56. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoDouble chance : Monheim or draw
21h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Monheim 2.25 vs SW Essen 1.56.
That gives 53% home win, 21% draw, 26% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : Monheim or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monheim win | 53% | 1.90 | - | - |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 | - | - |
| SW Essen win | 26% | 3.86 | - | - |
| Monheim (draw no bet) | 67% | 1.49 | - | - |
| SW Essen (draw no bet) | 33% | 3.03 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.