← All matches
Oberliga - Niederrhein · Niederrhein - 8Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 06:00 PM
BW Dingden
vs
SC St. Tönis
My Model2
31%23%46%
xG 1.5-1.9O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.51 vs 1.89. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or SC St. Tönis

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: BW Dingden 1.51 vs SC St. Tönis 1.89.

That gives 31% home win, 23% draw, 46% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or SC St. Tönis

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
BW Dingden win
30%		3.30--
Draw
24%		4.21--
SC St. Tönis win
46%		2.18--
BW Dingden (draw no bet)
40%		2.52--
SC St. Tönis (draw no bet)
60%		1.66--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

BW Dingden

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

SC St. Tönis

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

BW Dingden recent form

  • L9/27/2026SSVg Velbert 5-1 BW Dingden
  • W9/20/2026Büderich 0-3 BW Dingden
  • L9/13/2026BW Dingden 0-5 Schonnebeck
  • W9/4/2026Wuppertaler SV 0-2 BW Dingden
  • D8/28/2026BW Dingden 0-0 Germania Ratingen

SC St. Tönis recent form

  • W9/27/2026SC St. Tönis 4-0 Büderich
  • L9/18/2026Schonnebeck 3-1 SC St. Tönis
  • W9/13/2026SC St. Tönis 2-1 Wuppertaler SV
  • W9/9/2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz. 1-3 SC St. Tönis
  • D9/4/2026Germania Ratingen 1-1 SC St. Tönis

Head to head