KFC Uerdingen 05
SSVg VelbertExpected goals 2.60 vs 1.70. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoCombo Double chance : KFC Uerdingen 05 or draw and +1.5 goals
23h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Expected goals: KFC Uerdingen 05 2.60 vs SSVg Velbert 1.70.
That gives 57% home win, 19% draw, 24% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Combo Double chance : KFC Uerdingen 05 or draw and +1.5 goals
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFC Uerdingen 05 win | 57% | 1.76 | - | - |
| Draw | 19% | 5.19 | - | - |
| SSVg Velbert win | 24% | 4.17 | - | - |
| KFC Uerdingen 05 (draw no bet) | 70% | 1.42 | - | - |
| SSVg Velbert (draw no bet) | 30% | 3.37 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
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Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
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