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Regionalliga - SudWest · Sudwest - 10SplitFri, Oct 2 05:00 PM
Stuttgarter Kickers
vs
Kickers Offenbach
My Model1
47%24%29%
xG 1.8-1.4O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.82 vs 1.40. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

22h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or Kickers Offenbach

23h ago
Bookmakers1
44%24%32%
O2.5BTTS yes
1xBet · 23h ago

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Stuttgarter Kickers 1.82 vs Kickers Offenbach 1.40.

That gives 47% home win, 24% draw, 29% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 2.8 pts, draw 0.0 pts, away -2.9 pts.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Kickers Offenbach

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Stuttgarter Kickers win
47%
2.142.16+1%
Draw
24%
4.094.00-2%
Kickers Offenbach win
29%
3.462.98-14%
Stuttgarter Kickers (draw no bet)
62%
1.62--
Kickers Offenbach (draw no bet)
38%
2.62--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

Bookmaker1X2Fair 1 / X / 2Margin
My Model47% / 24% / 29%
1xBet2.164.002.9844% / 24% / 32%4.8%

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Stuttgarter Kickers

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Kickers Offenbach

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Stuttgarter Kickers recent form

  • D9/26/2026SGV Freiberg 2-2 Stuttgarter Kickers
  • W9/18/2026FSV Frankfurt 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers
  • W9/12/2026Stuttgarter Kickers 2-1 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
  • L9/8/2026FC Astoria Walldorf 2-1 Stuttgarter Kickers
  • L9/5/2026Stuttgarter Kickers 1-2 FSV Mainz 05 II

Kickers Offenbach recent form

  • L9/26/2026Kickers Offenbach 1-3 VfR Aalen
  • W9/18/2026Eintracht Trier 1-3 Kickers Offenbach
  • L9/11/2026Hessen Kassel 2-1 Kickers Offenbach
  • W9/8/2026Kickers Offenbach 3-2 TSV Steinbach
  • D9/5/2026FSV Frankfurt 1-1 Kickers Offenbach

Head to head