Buchbach
EltersdorfExpected goals 2.11 vs 1.18. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoDouble chance : Buchbach or draw
21h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Buchbach 2.11 vs Eltersdorf 1.18.
That gives 58% home win, 22% draw, 20% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : Buchbach or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchbach win | 58% | 1.73 | - | - |
| Draw | 22% | 4.52 | - | - |
| Eltersdorf win | 20% | 5.02 | - | - |
| Buchbach (draw no bet) | 74% | 1.34 | - | - |
| Eltersdorf (draw no bet) | 26% | 3.91 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
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Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
No past matches stored.