Grasshopper W
Zürich WMy Model1
38%24%37%
xG 1.6-1.6O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 1.61 vs 1.59. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
20h agoAPI-Football2
10%45%45%
Double chance : draw or Zürich W
21h agoBookmakers1
38%25%37%
O2.5
Bet365 · 21h agoGrasshopper WZürich WKickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Not fetched yet
Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Grasshopper W 1.61 vs Zürich W 1.59.
That gives 38% home win, 24% draw, 37% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 0.0 pts, draw -0.5 pts, away 0.5 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Zürich W
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshopper W win | 38% | 2.64 | 2.35 | -11% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | 3.60 | -10% |
| Zürich W win | 37% | 2.70 | 2.45 | -9% |
| Grasshopper W (draw no bet) | 51% | 1.98 | - | - |
| Zürich W (draw no bet) | 49% | 2.02 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 38% / 24% / 37% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.45 | 38% / 25% / 37% | 11.2% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Grasshopper W
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Zürich W
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Grasshopper W recent form
- W9/19/2026St. Gallen W 1-4 Grasshopper W
- D9/13/2026Grasshopper W 0-0 Luzern W
- D9/9/2026Basel W 1-1 Grasshopper W
- L9/6/2026Grasshopper W 1-3 Servette Chênois W
- W8/29/2026Yverdon W 1-2 Grasshopper W
Zürich W recent form
- D9/18/2026Servette Chênois W 0-0 Zürich W
- D9/13/2026Zürich W 1-1 Basel W
- D9/9/2026Zürich W 1-1 Young Boys W
- W9/5/2026Rapperswil Jona W 2-4 Zürich W
- W8/29/2026Aarau W 0-8 Zürich W
Head to head
- D5/1/2026Grasshopper W 0-0 Zürich W
- L4/24/2026Zürich W 2-0 Grasshopper W
- L12/7/2025Zürich W 4-2 Grasshopper W
- W8/27/2025Grasshopper W 2-0 Zürich W