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Oberliga - Hessen · Hessen - 12Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 06:30 PM
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
vs
Friedberg
My Model1
67%18%15%
xG 2.6-1.2O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.56 vs 1.18. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Combo Winner : Eintracht Stadtallendorf and +1.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Eintracht Stadtallendorf 2.56 vs Friedberg 1.18.

That gives 67% home win, 18% draw, 15% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Winner : Eintracht Stadtallendorf and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Eintracht Stadtallendorf win
67%
1.50--
Draw
18%
5.46--
Friedberg win
15%
6.64--
Eintracht Stadtallendorf (draw no bet)
82%
1.23--
Friedberg (draw no bet)
18%
5.42--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Eintracht Stadtallendorf

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Friedberg

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Eintracht Stadtallendorf recent form

  • W9/25/2026Unter-Flockenbach 2-7 Eintracht Stadtallendorf
  • W9/19/2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf 2-0 Darmstadt 98 II
  • W9/12/2026Baunatal 0-3 Eintracht Stadtallendorf
  • L9/9/2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf 0-2 Vfb Marburg
  • W9/5/2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf 5-0 Hadamar

Friedberg recent form

  • W9/26/2026Friedberg 2-0 TuBa Pohlheim
  • W9/19/2026Friedberg 5-0 FC Gießen
  • L9/12/2026Unter-Flockenbach 4-2 Friedberg
  • D9/8/2026Friedberg 3-3 Eddersheim
  • W9/5/2026Friedberg 2-1 Darmstadt 98 II

Head to head