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4. liga - Divizie F · Group F - 10Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 04:00 PM
Hlučín
vs
Nový Jičín
My Model1
50%21%29%
xG 2.2-1.7O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.21 vs 1.66. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

22h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Hlučín or draw

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Hlučín 2.21 vs Nový Jičín 1.66.

That gives 50% home win, 21% draw, 29% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Hlučín or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Hlučín win
50%		2.01--
Draw
22%		4.63--
Nový Jičín win
29%		3.50--
Hlučín (draw no bet)
64%		1.57--
Nový Jičín (draw no bet)
36%		2.75--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Hlučín

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Nový Jičín

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Hlučín recent form

  • L9/26/2026Stonava 4-1 Hlučín
  • W9/18/2026Hlučín 4-1 Pustá Polom
  • W9/12/2026Valašské Meziříčí 2-5 Hlučín
  • W9/4/2026Hlučín 1-0 Bílovec
  • W8/29/2026Frydek-Mistek B 1-2 Hlučín

Nový Jičín recent form

  • L9/27/2026Pustá Polom 3-2 Nový Jičín
  • W9/19/2026Nový Jičín 3-0 Bílovec
  • W9/12/2026Břidličná 2-4 Nový Jičín
  • L9/5/2026Nový Jičín 2-4 Bospor Bohumín
  • W8/30/2026Zabreh 0-1 Nový Jičín

Head to head

No past matches stored.