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Carioca U20 · Regular Season - 9Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 06:00 PM
Flamengo U20
vs
Sampaio Correa FE U20
My Model1
84%10%6%
xG 3.5-0.9O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 3.52 vs 0.93. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
50%50%0%
O2.5

Combo Winner : Flamengo U20 and +2.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Flamengo U20 3.52 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 0.93.

That gives 84% home win, 10% draw, 6% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Winner : Flamengo U20 and +2.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Flamengo U20 win
84%		1.19--
Draw
10%		9.86--
Sampaio Correa FE U20 win
6%		17.85--
Flamengo U20 (draw no bet)
94%		1.07--
Sampaio Correa FE U20 (draw no bet)
6%		16.04--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Flamengo U20

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Sampaio Correa FE U20

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Flamengo U20 recent form

  • L9/26/2026Flamengo U20 1-3 Fluminense U20
  • W9/19/2026Botafogo U20 0-1 Flamengo U20
  • W9/12/2026Flamengo U20 6-2 Volta Redonda U20
  • W9/8/2026Flamengo U20 6-0 Forte U20
  • W9/4/2026Bangu U20 0-3 Flamengo U20

Sampaio Correa FE U20 recent form

  • W9/27/2026Sampaio Correa FE U20 3-1 Boavista U20
  • L9/19/2026Fluminense U20 5-1 Sampaio Correa FE U20
  • D9/12/2026Sampaio Correa FE U20 1-1 Nova Iguaçu U20
  • L9/4/2026Botafogo U20 4-0 Sampaio Correa FE U20
  • W8/29/2026Sampaio Correa FE U20 2-1 Portuguesa RJ U20

Head to head