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Carioca U20 · Regular Season - 9Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 01:00 PM
Bangu U20
vs
Nova Iguaçu U20
My Model1
49%27%24%
xG 1.5-1.0U2.5BTTS no

Expected goals 1.50 vs 0.97. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

22h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Bangu U20 or draw

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Bangu U20 1.50 vs Nova Iguaçu U20 0.97.

That gives 49% home win, 27% draw, 24% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Bangu U20 or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Bangu U20 win
49%		2.06--
Draw
28%		3.57--
Nova Iguaçu U20 win
23%		4.26--
Bangu U20 (draw no bet)
67%		1.48--
Nova Iguaçu U20 (draw no bet)
33%		3.07--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Bangu U20

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Nova Iguaçu U20

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Bangu U20 recent form

  • W9/26/2026Portuguesa RJ U20 0-3 Bangu U20
  • W9/19/2026Bangu U20 1-0 Maricá U20
  • L9/12/2026Vasco da Gama U20 3-0 Bangu U20
  • L9/4/2026Bangu U20 0-3 Flamengo U20
  • L8/29/2026Fluminense U20 2-1 Bangu U20

Nova Iguaçu U20 recent form

  • D9/27/2026Nova Iguaçu U20 2-2 Madureira U20
  • L9/20/2026Boavista U20 3-2 Nova Iguaçu U20
  • D9/12/2026Sampaio Correa FE U20 1-1 Nova Iguaçu U20
  • D9/5/2026Nova Iguaçu U20 0-0 Portuguesa RJ U20
  • L8/29/2026Maricá U20 3-0 Nova Iguaçu U20

Head to head