Krems / Rehberg
Wiener SCExpected goals 1.38 vs 1.60. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoDouble chance : Krems / Rehberg or draw
21h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Krems / Rehberg 1.38 vs Wiener SC 1.60.
That gives 32% home win, 25% draw, 42% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -0.0 pts, draw 0.5 pts, away -0.4 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Krems / Rehberg or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krems / Rehberg win | 32% | 3.11 | 2.75 | -12% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 3.60 | -6% |
| Wiener SC win | 42% | 2.39 | 2.10 | -12% |
| Krems / Rehberg (draw no bet) | 43% | 2.30 | - | - |
| Wiener SC (draw no bet) | 57% | 1.77 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 32% / 25% / 42% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 33% / 25% / 43% | 11.8% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.