Zagłębie Lubin II
Górnik PolkowiceExpected goals 2.07 vs 1.55. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Zagłębie Lubin II or draw
22h agoBoisko Boczne, Lubin · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Expected goals: Zagłębie Lubin II 2.07 vs Górnik Polkowice 1.55.
That gives 49% home win, 22% draw, 29% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 0.5 pts, draw -1.7 pts, away 1.2 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Zagłębie Lubin II or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II win | 49% | 2.04 | 1.83 | -10% |
| Draw | 23% | 4.43 | 3.75 | -15% |
| Górnik Polkowice win | 28% | 3.53 | 3.25 | -8% |
| Zagłębie Lubin II (draw no bet) | 63% | 1.58 | - | - |
| Górnik Polkowice (draw no bet) | 37% | 2.73 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 49% / 22% / 29% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 49% / 24% / 27% | 12.1% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.