Wisłoka Dębica
Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówExpected goals 1.53 vs 1.02. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Wisłoka Dębica or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Wisłoka Dębica 1.53 vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.02.
That gives 48% home win, 27% draw, 25% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -3.0 pts, draw 3.2 pts, away -0.2 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Wisłoka Dębica or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisłoka Dębica win | 48% | 2.08 | 1.75 | -16% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | 3.80 | +5% |
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win | 24% | 4.12 | 3.60 | -13% |
| Wisłoka Dębica (draw no bet) | 66% | 1.50 | - | - |
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (draw no bet) | 34% | 2.98 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 48% / 27% / 25% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.60 | 51% / 24% / 25% | 11.2% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.