Sportfreunde Schwaig
KotternExpected goals 2.06 vs 0.89. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Sportfreunde Schwaig or draw
22h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Sportfreunde Schwaig 2.06 vs Kottern 0.89.
That gives 64% home win, 21% draw, 15% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : Sportfreunde Schwaig or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Schwaig win | 64% | 1.57 | - | - |
| Draw | 22% | 4.59 | - | - |
| Kottern win | 15% | 6.88 | - | - |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig (draw no bet) | 81% | 1.23 | - | - |
| Kottern (draw no bet) | 19% | 5.38 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.