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Oberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 13Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 05:00 PM
Weiden
vs
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
My Model1
42%23%35%
xG 1.9-1.7O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.88 vs 1.72. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Combo Double chance : Weiden or draw and +1.5 goals

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Weiden 1.88 vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1.72.

That gives 42% home win, 23% draw, 35% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : Weiden or draw and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Weiden win
42%
2.40--
Draw
23%
4.30--
Viktoria Aschaffenburg win
35%
2.85--
Weiden (draw no bet)
54%
1.84--
Viktoria Aschaffenburg (draw no bet)
46%
2.18--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Weiden

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Weiden recent form

  • L9/26/2026Jahn Regensburg II 3-1 Weiden
  • L9/18/2026Weiden 1-3 Gebenbach
  • W9/12/2026Stadeln 0-3 Weiden
  • L9/4/2026Weiden 1-2 Fortuna Regensburg
  • W8/29/2026Weiden 1-0 Großbardorf

Viktoria Aschaffenburg recent form

  • D9/25/2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-2 Bayern Hof
  • W9/18/2026Kornburg 1-2 Viktoria Aschaffenburg
  • L9/15/2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-2 Würzburger FV
  • L9/12/2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-3 ASV Neumarkt
  • L9/9/2026Großbardorf 3-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg

Head to head

No past matches stored.