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Oberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 13Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 05:30 PM
Kornburg
vs
Nordlingen
My Model1
46%25%29%
xG 1.7-1.3O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.69 vs 1.30. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Kornburg or draw

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Kornburg 1.69 vs Nordlingen 1.30.

That gives 46% home win, 25% draw, 29% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Kornburg or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Kornburg win
46%		2.19--
Draw
26%		3.90--
Nordlingen win
29%		3.49--
Kornburg (draw no bet)
61%		1.63--
Nordlingen (draw no bet)
39%		2.60--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Kornburg

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Nordlingen

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Kornburg recent form

  • D9/26/2026Würzburger FV 1-1 Kornburg
  • L9/18/2026Kornburg 1-2 Viktoria Aschaffenburg
  • L9/12/2026Jahn Regensburg II 3-0 Kornburg
  • D9/4/2026Kornburg 1-1 Gebenbach
  • D8/28/2026Stadeln 1-1 Kornburg

Nordlingen recent form

  • D9/26/2026Nordlingen 0-0 ASV Neumarkt
  • L9/20/2026Ammerthal 3-1 Nordlingen
  • L9/12/2026Nordlingen 0-1 DJK Bamberg
  • L9/5/2026Cham 4-1 Nordlingen
  • L8/29/2026Nordlingen 0-1 Eintracht Bamberg

Head to head

No past matches stored.