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Oberliga - Hamburg · Hamburg - 10Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 05:00 PM
Niendorfer TSV
vs
Concordia
My Model1
45%22%33%
xG 2.0-1.7O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.03 vs 1.74. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Combo Double chance : Niendorfer TSV or draw and +1.5 goals

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Niendorfer TSV 2.03 vs Concordia 1.74.

That gives 45% home win, 22% draw, 33% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : Niendorfer TSV or draw and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Niendorfer TSV win
44%
2.25--
Draw
22%
4.45--
Concordia win
33%
3.03--
Niendorfer TSV (draw no bet)
57%
1.74--
Concordia (draw no bet)
43%
2.35--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Niendorfer TSV

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Concordia

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Niendorfer TSV recent form

  • D9/26/2026Teutonia Ottensen 1-1 Niendorfer TSV
  • L9/20/2026Niendorfer TSV 2-4 Tus Dassendorf
  • W9/13/2026Sasel 0-3 Niendorfer TSV
  • W9/6/2026Niendorfer TSV 1-0 Süderelbe
  • L8/30/2026Pinneberg 5-0 Niendorfer TSV

Concordia recent form

  • L9/27/2026Concordia 2-3 Paloma
  • D9/20/2026Nikola Tesla 2-2 Concordia
  • W9/11/2026Concordia 4-2 Norderstedt II
  • W9/4/2026Harksheide 1-3 Concordia
  • L8/28/2026Concordia 3-4 Altona 93

Head to head

No past matches stored.