Victoria Hamburg
SaselExpected goals 2.27 vs 1.39. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
22h agoDouble chance : Victoria Hamburg or draw
23h agoBookmaker odds not available yet
Kickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Victoria Hamburg 2.27 vs Sasel 1.39.
That gives 57% home win, 21% draw, 22% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
API-Football says: Double chance : Victoria Hamburg or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Hamburg win | 57% | 1.77 | - | - |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 | - | - |
| Sasel win | 22% | 4.50 | - | - |
| Victoria Hamburg (draw no bet) | 72% | 1.39 | - | - |
| Sasel (draw no bet) | 28% | 3.55 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.