Hluboka nad Vltavou
KřimiceExpected goals 1.29 vs 1.64. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoNo predictions available
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.29 vs Křimice 1.64.
That gives 30% home win, 25% draw, 45% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home -6.0 pts, draw 1.8 pts, away 4.2 pts.
API-Football says: No predictions available
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hluboka nad Vltavou win | 29% | 3.42 | 2.50 | -27% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 3.80 | -1% |
| Křimice win | 45% | 2.24 | 2.20 | -2% |
| Hluboka nad Vltavou (draw no bet) | 40% | 2.53 | - | - |
| Křimice (draw no bet) | 60% | 1.65 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 30% / 25% / 45% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 36% / 24% / 41% | 11.8% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.