← All matches
1. Division · Regular Season - 27SplitFri, Oct 2 02:30 PM
Volna
vs
Lida
My Model2
29%21%49%
xG 1.7-2.2O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.68 vs 2.20. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

20h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Double chance : Volna or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Volna 1.68 vs Lida 2.20.

That gives 29% home win, 21% draw, 49% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Volna or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Volna win
29%		3.44--
Draw
22%		4.62--
Lida win
49%		2.03--
Volna (draw no bet)
37%		2.69--
Lida (draw no bet)
63%		1.59--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Volna

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Lida

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Volna recent form

  • L9/26/2026Niva 4-0 Volna
  • L9/19/2026Volna 1-3 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
  • L9/12/2026FC Slutsk 1-0 Volna
  • W9/4/2026Volna 2-1 Dinamo Minsk II
  • L8/29/2026Ostrovets FC 2-0 Volna

Lida recent form

  • W9/25/2026Lida 2-1 Smorgon
  • L9/19/2026Bumprom 4-0 Lida
  • W9/13/2026Lida 3-2 Minsk II
  • W9/5/2026Osipovichy 1-2 Lida
  • W8/29/2026Shakhter Soligorsk 1-2 Lida

Head to head