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1. Division · Regular Season - 27Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 02:00 PM
BATE II
vs
Ostrovets FC
My Model2
27%22%51%
xG 1.4-2.0O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.45 vs 2.02. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football2
10%45%45%

Double chance : draw or Ostrovets FC

22h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: BATE II 1.45 vs Ostrovets FC 2.02.

That gives 27% home win, 22% draw, 51% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Ostrovets FC

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
BATE II win
27%
3.72--
Draw
23%
4.35--
Ostrovets FC win
50%
2.00--
BATE II (draw no bet)
35%
2.86--
Ostrovets FC (draw no bet)
65%
1.54--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

BATE II

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Ostrovets FC

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

BATE II recent form

  • L9/25/2026Slonim 2-1 BATE II
  • L9/20/2026BATE II 0-3 Shakhter Soligorsk
  • W9/12/2026BATE II 3-1 Uni Minsk
  • L9/4/2026Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 3-0 BATE II
  • D8/29/2026BATE II 2-2 Gomel II

Ostrovets FC recent form

  • D9/26/2026Uni Minsk 1-1 Ostrovets FC
  • L9/20/2026Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 3-2 Ostrovets FC
  • W9/12/2026Ostrovets FC 3-1 Gomel II
  • W9/6/2026Orsha 2-3 Ostrovets FC
  • W8/29/2026Ostrovets FC 2-0 Volna

Head to head