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Northern Super League · Regular seasonSources agreeFri, Oct 2 11:00 PM
Montreal Roses W
vs
Ottawa Rapid W
My Model1
45%25%30%
xG 1.9-1.5O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 1.85 vs 1.48. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

52m ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Double chance : Montreal Roses W or draw

21h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Montreal Roses W 1.85 vs Ottawa Rapid W 1.48.

That gives 45% home win, 25% draw, 30% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Double chance : Montreal Roses W or draw

Model version dpois-1.202610022147

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Montreal Roses W win
46%		2.19--
Draw
24%		4.15--
Ottawa Rapid W win
30%		3.31--
Montreal Roses W (draw no bet)
60%		1.66--
Ottawa Rapid W (draw no bet)
40%		2.51--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Montreal Roses W

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Ottawa Rapid W

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Montreal Roses W recent form

  • D9/27/2026Halifax Tides W 0-0 Montreal Roses W
  • D9/19/2026Vancouver Rise W 2-2 Montreal Roses W
  • D9/10/2026Montreal Roses W 2-2 AFC Toronto W
  • W9/6/2026Ottawa Rapid W 2-3 Montreal Roses W
  • W8/29/2026Montreal Roses W 1-0 Halifax Tides W

Ottawa Rapid W recent form

  • L9/26/2026AFC Toronto W 3-0 Ottawa Rapid W
  • W9/20/2026Ottawa Rapid W 3-1 Calgary Wild W
  • L9/13/2026Vancouver Rise W 4-0 Ottawa Rapid W
  • L9/6/2026Ottawa Rapid W 2-3 Montreal Roses W
  • L8/30/2026AFC Toronto W 2-1 Ottawa Rapid W

Head to head