Qviding FIF
Landvetter ISExpected goals 1.41 vs 1.66. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoDouble chance : draw or Landvetter IS
21h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Expected goals: Qviding FIF 1.41 vs Landvetter IS 1.66.
That gives 32% home win, 25% draw, 43% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 6.4 pts, draw 2.4 pts, away -8.9 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : draw or Landvetter IS
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qviding FIF win | 32% | 3.14 | 3.50 | +11% |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | 4.00 | +2% |
| Landvetter IS win | 43% | 2.34 | 1.73 | -26% |
| Qviding FIF (draw no bet) | 43% | 2.34 | - | - |
| Landvetter IS (draw no bet) | 57% | 1.75 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 32% / 25% / 43% | ||||
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 26% / 22% / 52% | 11.4% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.