Staffanstorp United
SölvesborgExpected goals 1.96 vs 1.43. Teams rate closely on recent goals.
22h agoDouble chance : Staffanstorp United or draw
23h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Staffanstorp United 1.96 vs Sölvesborg 1.43.
That gives 50% home win, 23% draw, 28% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 13.5 pts, draw -1.1 pts, away -12.4 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Staffanstorp United or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staffanstorp United win | 49% | 2.03 | 2.50 | +23% |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | 3.75 | -12% |
| Sölvesborg win | 27% | 3.65 | 2.25 | -38% |
| Staffanstorp United (draw no bet) | 64% | 1.56 | - | - |
| Sölvesborg (draw no bet) | 36% | 2.80 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 50% / 23% / 28% | ||||
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.75 | 2.25 | 36% / 24% / 40% | 11.1% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.