Jitex W
Linköping WExpected goals 1.61 vs 1.88. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
21h agoDouble chance : Jitex W or draw
22h agoKickoff 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Expected goals: Jitex W 1.61 vs Linköping W 1.88.
That gives 33% home win, 23% draw, 44% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 9.9 pts, draw -0.1 pts, away -9.8 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Jitex W or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jitex W win | 33% | 3.06 | 3.90 | +27% |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | 3.90 | -8% |
| Linköping W win | 44% | 2.29 | 1.67 | -27% |
| Jitex W (draw no bet) | 43% | 2.34 | - | - |
| Linköping W (draw no bet) | 57% | 1.75 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 33% / 23% / 44% | ||||
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 23% / 23% / 54% | 11.2% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.