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Primera C · Regular Season - 31Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 09:30 PM
Defensores de Cambaceres
vs
Victoriano Arenas
My Model1
38%37%25%
xG 1.0-0.7U2.5BTTS no

Expected goals 0.96 vs 0.73. Teams rate closely on recent goals.

3h ago
API-Football1
35%35%30%

Combo Double chance : Defensores de Cambaceres or draw and -3.5 goals

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Defensores de Cambaceres 0.96 vs Victoriano Arenas 0.73.

That gives 38% home win, 37% draw, 25% away win; under 2.5 goals and BTTS no are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : Defensores de Cambaceres or draw and -3.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610022147

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Defensores de Cambaceres win
38%
2.60--
Draw
36%
2.79--
Victoriano Arenas win
26%
3.90--
Defensores de Cambaceres (draw no bet)
60%
1.67--
Victoriano Arenas (draw no bet)
40%
2.50--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Defensores de Cambaceres

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Victoriano Arenas

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Defensores de Cambaceres recent form

  • L9/28/2026Centro Español 2-0 Defensores de Cambaceres
  • D9/18/2026Defensores de Cambaceres 0-0 JJ Urquiza
  • W9/13/2026Defensores de Cambaceres 1-0 Sportivo Barracas
  • W9/4/2026Mercedes 0-3 Defensores de Cambaceres
  • D8/29/2026Defensores de Cambaceres 0-0 Deportivo Paraguayo

Victoriano Arenas recent form

  • D9/26/2026Victoriano Arenas 1-1 Juventud Unida
  • W9/21/2026Sacachispas 0-1 Victoriano Arenas
  • L9/12/2026Canuelas 2-0 Victoriano Arenas
  • D9/5/2026Victoriano Arenas 1-1 Argentino Rosario
  • D8/30/2026Estrella Del Sur 1-1 Victoriano Arenas

Head to head