← All matches
3. Division - Girone 2 · Regular Season - 22Sources agreeFri, Oct 2 04:30 PM
Molde II
vs
Herd
My Model1
45%17%38%
xG 2.9-2.7O2.5BTTS yes

Expected goals 2.94 vs 2.73. Away side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.

21h ago
API-Football1
45%45%10%

Combo Double chance : Molde II or draw and +1.5 goals

23h ago
Bookmakers

Bookmaker odds not available yet

Kickoff 10/2/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Not fetched yet

Why the model thinks this

Expected goals: Molde II 2.94 vs Herd 2.73.

That gives 45% home win, 17% draw, 38% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.

API-Football says: Combo Double chance : Molde II or draw and +1.5 goals

Model version dpois-1.202610020245

Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.

All markets

MarketModelFair oddBookmakerValue
Molde II win
45%
2.24--
Draw
18%
5.70--
Herd win
38%
2.65--
Molde II (draw no bet)
54%
1.85--
Herd (draw no bet)
46%
2.18--

Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.

Bookmaker comparison

No odds stored yet.

Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.

Lineups & absences

Molde II

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Herd

Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).

Absent

None reported.

Molde II recent form

  • L9/26/2026Strindheim 10-0 Molde II
  • W9/20/2026Molde II 1-0 Melhus
  • D9/12/2026NTNUI 4-4 Molde II
  • W9/7/2026Molde II 3-2 Aalesund II
  • L8/31/2026Spjelkavik 3-1 Molde II

Herd recent form

  • D9/26/2026Herd 0-0 Kvik Trondheim
  • L9/19/2026Byåsen 6-1 Herd
  • D9/12/2026Herd 2-2 Orkla
  • L9/5/2026Herd 1-4 Melhus
  • L8/30/2026NTNUI 2-1 Herd

Head to head