Bray Wanderers
Cobh RamblersExpected goals 2.54 vs 1.16. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoDouble chance : Bray Wanderers or draw
21h agoCarlisle Grounds, Bray · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Expected goals: Bray Wanderers 2.54 vs Cobh Ramblers 1.16.
That gives 67% home win, 18% draw, 15% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Versus fair bookmaker prices the model differs by home 11.3 pts, draw -5.4 pts, away -6.0 pts.
API-Football says: Double chance : Bray Wanderers or draw
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bray Wanderers win | 67% | 1.50 | 1.60 | +7% |
| Draw | 18% | 5.43 | 3.80 | -30% |
| Cobh Ramblers win | 15% | 6.71 | 4.20 | -37% |
| Bray Wanderers (draw no bet) | 82% | 1.22 | - | - |
| Cobh Ramblers (draw no bet) | 18% | 5.47 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Fair 1 / X / 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Model | 67% / 18% / 15% | ||||
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.20 | 55% / 23% / 21% | 12.6% |
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
None reported.