Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas CityMy Model1
61%21%18%
xG 2.2-1.1O2.5BTTS yes
Expected goals 2.20 vs 1.12. Home side rates clearly stronger on recent goals.
20h agoAPI-Football
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Bookmakers
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Seattle SoundersSporting Kansas CityLumen Field, Seattle · Referee Jair Marrufo · Kickoff 10/2/2026, 1:30:00 AM
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Why the model thinks this
Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 2.20 vs Sporting Kansas City 1.12.
That gives 61% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win; over 2.5 goals and BTTS yes are the more likely outcomes.
Model version dpois-1.202610020245
Expected goals come from each team's attack and defence ratings, updated after every past match, plus home advantage.
All markets
| Market | Model | Fair odd | Bookmaker | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders win | 61% | 1.64 | - | - |
| Draw | 21% | 4.72 | - | - |
| Sporting Kansas City win | 18% | 5.67 | - | - |
| Seattle Sounders (draw no bet) | 78% | 1.29 | - | - |
| Sporting Kansas City (draw no bet) | 22% | 4.46 | - | - |
Model chances for every market. Value = model chance x bookmaker odd - 1; green means the price beats the model's fair odd. Press Update to load the latest prices.
Bookmaker comparison
No odds stored yet.
Fair % removes each bookmaker's margin. Sorted by lowest margin first.
Lineups & absences
Seattle Sounders
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Sporting Kansas City
Lineup not published yet (usually ~1h before kickoff).
Absent
None reported.
Seattle Sounders recent form
- W9/27/2026Seattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United FC
- W9/24/2026Seattle Sounders 2-0 Real Salt Lake
- D9/20/2026Colorado Rapids 3-3 Seattle Sounders
- D9/13/2026Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 Seattle Sounders
- D9/6/2026Seattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City recent form
- W9/27/2026Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting Kansas City
- L9/20/2026Sporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
- W9/13/2026Sporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FC
- L9/6/2026FC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas City
- L8/30/2026Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Head to head
- D5/2/2026Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Seattle Sounders
- W8/25/2025Seattle Sounders 5-2 Sporting Kansas City
- W7/13/2025Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Seattle Sounders
- W9/15/2024Seattle Sounders 2-0 Sporting Kansas City
- L6/9/2024Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Seattle Sounders
- L5/7/2023Seattle Sounders 1-2 Sporting Kansas City